How did you go bankrupt?” Bill asked.
“Two ways,” Mike said. “Gradually and then suddenly.”
“What brought it on?”
“Friends,” said Mike. “I had a lot of friends. False friends. Then I had creditors, too. Probably had more creditors than anybody in England.”
Mike Campbell in the 1926 novel “The Sun Also Rises”. Ernest Hemingway.
Change, like bankruptcy, happens gradually and then suddenly. Most approaches to change management make incremental differences during the gradual phase in the hope that somehow, the inevitability of “suddenly” can be delayed. Much “change management” is a false friend, offering expensive hope from mercenary, temporary friends.
The change that matters, phase change, whether in careers, businesses, organisations or countries, always involves breakage. I find Schumpeter and his ideas of destruction and creation far more compelling than any change management theory, even if it is a rather less compelling sales pitch.
“Max Planck, surveying his own career in his Scientific Autobiography, sadly remarked that “a new scientific truth does not triumph by convincing its opponents and making them see the light, but rather because its opponents eventually die, and a new generation grows up that is familiar with it.”
― Thomas S. Kuhn, The Structure of Scientific Revolutions
During the “gradual” phase, artisans repair organisations in a similar manner to the way Japanese Kintsugi artists repair ceramics. The cracks and breakages are emphasised in a way that respects the original, the forces that brought about its breakage, and create an additional beauty in the way it is repaired. No PowerPoint decks, blame games, or other avoidance strategies.
The art is in seeing the whole amongst the pieces and extending its life.
When it comes to the “suddenly” phase, it is artisans who create the vehicles for the new to emerge. In this phase, they often keep company with heretics, as they move beyond repair to creation. New concepts such as Impressionism, and new understanding, like John Wycliffe translating the Bible into English, planting the seeds of the reformation. Florence Nightingale and the Role of Nursing. Today, they are all around us, in what Gal Beckerman calls ‘The Quiet Before”. They are in areas like Regeneration, Climate Change, Healthcare and Education because they know that in these areas that matter to humanity, we have run out of “gradually”. They are not to be found in the noise of the celebrants of destruction, but in the spaces, from AI to Biology, where the tools and capabilities for creating the new are happening.
I think each of us has to find our inner artisan because many of the careers we have today, from the Law and other professions to Banking, and others that rely on industrial-era thinking and practice in the singular pursuit of money, are breaking. No amount of Kintsugi will recover them. Our industrial Humpty Dumpties have had their day.
The careers of tomorrow seem far more likely to be those that harness the uniqueness of our humanity. Explicit knowledge and anything we can describe as a process is now a commodity. Jobs requiring humanity are on the rise, and those involving wonder, curiosity, courage and creation are at a premium.
We all have an artisan in us. Most sit idly by, bored out of their skin by the work we do every day in the tedious, soulless pursuit of ‘economic growth”.
They see a bigger picture, have ambitions of an altogether different order, and we need them.
We should get to know them.
One of the ways that "sudden" change has been discussed is as a "collapse." Joseph Tainter called this "a rapid simplification of an overly complex system." I picked this up from a lecture he gave. He told me last year that this is not accurate because a complexity is a healthy state. He says that societies throughout history have known that this sudden change was coming, but did not change to avoid it. He also makes the point that societies advance because they solve problems. My observation is that sustaining the solutions becomes the problem, eventually leading to the sudden collapse. If we look at the growth of organizations over the past fifty years, it has not been in producing more artisans, but administrative positions to manage the artisans. We can see this in all around us. You can't fight it. To do so is to create another problem that must be solved therefore adding to the burden of bureaucracy. The solution is to change ourselves. To prepare for the sudden change. To simplify and the management load of our lives. And to develop new skills and expanded networks for recovery, restoration, and renewal. If we look at this with hope and resilience, we can see that with sudden change comes opportunity.
I am in a place between where I am searching for my next “assignment”. I have not been able to make myself comply with soul crushing work yet and have somehow avoided it for the most part, though have little portfolio to show for it. It is interesting to reflect that the two recent opportunities that have come my way have been to apprentice with powerful elder women on stewarding places of refuge. The most recent also involving healing work in concert with the earth. Reading your words here brought into focus for me the beauty and real value of the artisanal nature of the opportunities I have been gifted with. And made them seem a lot more financially plausible in the years to come.